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WeeklySSESSMENTS: SEA PE Prices Week Starting July 13

Author: SSESSMENTS

Southeast Asia PE Market Showed Poor Response Towards Price Adjustments

  • Local and import offers shifted
  • End-product demand not yet picking up
  • Outlook depends on feedstock prices and market behaviour

Southeast Asia PE market’s responses remain unfavourable after prices adjusted. According to market participants, a Thai PE producer maintained local offers for PE across all grades stable until mid-week before deciding to trim HDPE Film and LLDPE Film C4 offers by THB750/ton ($23/ton) as compared to offers at the beginning of the week. Likewise, local offers for LDPE Film from the producer dropped by THB1,000/ton ($31/ton) as compared to the same period. SSESSMENTS.COM observed that this decision was taken following the weak buying sentiment where deals for HDPE Film were reached at THB500/ton ($15/ton) lower from the initial offers available in early this week. In Malaysia and the Philippines, local PE prices were kept stable from last week. Detailed information for Indonesia and Vietnam market is available in WeeklySSESSMENTS of the respective countries.

Moving to the import market, a Middle Eastern PE producer adjusted up August shipment offers for HDPE Film, LDPE Film, and LLDPE Film C4 between $20-30/ton citing limited allocation due to backlogs. SSESSMENTS.COM was told that Malaysian buyers’ acceptance level for the cargoes were at $10-80/ton lower depending on PE grades, hence, the latest offer level was deemed unworkable. Market acceptance seems matching with offers from the leading Indian petrochemical producer, which offered LLDPE Film C4 to Malaysia at $870/ton. From a Malaysian polyolefins producer, August shipment HDPE Film and LDPE Film offers to Philippines increased by $120/ton and $100/ton, respectively compared to deals for July shipment. Philippines’ converters receiving HDPE Film offers from the producer decided to skip procurement since the offer level at $950/ton is too high. All import offers on LC at sight, CIF Main Port basis.

Thai market players contacted by SSESSMENTS.COM revealed tight competition to reach deals in the PE market. For the end-products, demand for plastic packaging is ongoing, although it is not strong yet since the market is still in a recovery process. A different picture emerges from the Malaysia PE market, in which new import offers are not compelling enough to buyers as end-product demand remains flat. Supply remains tight in Malaysia due to shutdowns on local producers’ plants while Middle Eastern suppliers keep supply around 60-80% from normal allocation.

Speaking about the outlook, market players pointed out to SSESSMENTS.COM that demand will depend on two factors. Firstly, with PE prices are considered high at the moment, a price reduction is needed. This condition can occur if feedstocks price goes down coupled with negative dynamics in other markets like China and Vietnam. Secondly, the market needs to consider converters’ absorption on inventory impacted buying behaviour.

Local PE offers on FD basis, excluding VAT in all terms (except in PHP term including 12% VAT)

OriginProductTransaction TypeCurrencyOffers/tonEquivalent in USD/tonPayment TermDelivery Location
MalaysiaHDPE Blow MouldingPrice ListMYR4,04094730 Days Credit TermMalaysia
MalaysiaHDPE FilmOffer ReceivedMYR3,90091430 Days Credit TermMalaysia
MalaysiaHDPE FilmPrice ListMYR3,96092830 Days Credit TermMalaysia
PhilippinesHDPE FilmOffer ReceivedPHP57,0001,027Cash In AdvancePhilippines
ThailandHDPE FilmOffer GivenTHB30,000-31,000950-982Cash In AdvanceThailand
ThailandHDPE FilmOffer ReceivedTHB30,250958Cash In AdvanceThailand
ThailandHDPE FilmSoldTHB30,500-31,000966-982Cash In AdvanceThailand
MalaysiaLDPE FilmPrice ListMYR4,390-4,5301,029-1,06130 Days Credit TermMalaysia
ThailandLDPE FilmOffer GivenTHB33,000-34,5001,045-1,092Cash In AdvanceThailand
ThailandLDPE FilmOffer ReceivedTHB33,0001,045Cash In AdvanceThailand
ThailandLDPE FilmSoldTHB32,5001,029Cash In AdvanceThailand
MalaysiaLLDPE Film C4Offer ReceivedMYR3,92091830 Days Credit TermMalaysia
MalaysiaLLDPE Film C4Price ListMYR4,2701,00030 Days Credit TermMalaysia
PhilippinesLLDPE Film C4Offer ReceivedPHP56,0001,009Cash In AdvancePhilippines
ThailandLLDPE Film C4Offer GivenTHB30,000-31,000950-982Cash In AdvanceThailand
ThailandLLDPE Film C4Offer ReceivedTHB30,250958Cash In AdvanceThailand
ThailandLLDPE Film C4SoldTHB30,250-30,500958-966Cash In AdvanceThailand

Import PE offers on LC at sight, CIF Main Port basis

OriginProductTransaction TypeOffers (USD/ton)Delivery Country
Southeast AsiaHDPE Blow MouldingOffer Received960Philippines
Southeast AsiaHDPE Blow MouldingSold950Philippines
Middle EastHDPE FilmBuy Idea880-920Malaysia
Middle EastHDPE FilmOffer Given950Malaysia
Southeast AsiaHDPE FilmOffer Received950Philippines
Middle EastLDPE FilmBid Received950-960Malaysia
Middle EastLDPE FilmOffer Given970Malaysia
Southeast AsiaLDPE FilmOffer Received1,020Philippines
Indian SubcontinentLLDPE Film C4Offer Received870Malaysia
Middle EastLLDPE Film C4Bid Received860Malaysia
Middle EastLLDPE Film C4Offer Given900Malaysia
North AmericaLLDPE Film C4Offer Given830-850Malaysia

Tags: Asia Pacific,English,PE,SEA,Weekly

Published on July 16, 2020 1:57 PM (GMT+8)
Last Updated on July 16, 2020 1:57 PM (GMT+8)